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To: Stu R who wrote (7335)3/13/2000 9:44:00 PM
From: Jim Willie CB  Respond to of 35685
 
on put/call ratio disparity, expressed with reservations

the CBOE put/call ratio is a function of S&P index options
both S&P500 (SPX) and S&P100 (OEX)

I show from Barrons this weekend a value of 23 for VIX
which is on complacent bearish end of range
this is a function of pure option premium (no ratio)
dont understand the nature of your quoted figure

the put/call I mentioned pertained to Nasdaq
it is a function of the QQQ, which ties to Nasdaq100

I would intrepret my available data as negative for S&P
and positive for NazComp

no two put/call ratios are equal
you can have one based upon S&P indexes
you can have another based upon component stocks' options
/ Jim



To: Stu R who wrote (7335)3/14/2000 1:32:00 AM
From: Jim Willie CB  Respond to of 35685
 
TA on Siliconix SILI: coming down imminently for shooh

its relative strength is hugely overbought high
that RSI is an astounding 85, and 80 is extreme
it has been above extreme 80 before

its daily stochastics have begun to crossover
look for some giveback profitaking

move from 90 to 150 might lose at least 3/8 in retracement
that would take it to 126-128 maximum
losing 5/8 would be 111-113

its 18day MA is now at almost 100
that leads me to believe something like 100-113 on pullback

as with other explosive techs just written about,
a tech selloff like what has just begun will see the big winners giving some back

/ Jim