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Strategies & Market Trends : Technical analysis for shorts & longs -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Johnny Canuck who wrote (25584)3/14/2000 3:58:00 PM
From: Johnny Canuck  Respond to of 68393
 
I-watch

7 mil block buy
4 mil block sell
15 mil total

12:45 ET ******

Solectron (SLR) 43 7/8 +3 7/8: More often than not, good things come to those who
wait in the stock market. Solectron is a case in point as its stock went into a swoon
following its fiscal Q1 earnings results which were announced after the close on
December 13. The pervading disappointment at the time surrounded the company's
top-line number as it came in at $2.5 bln. While this marked a 28.6% year-over-year
improvement, it was short of analyst estimates, on average, by $100 mln-$300 mln.
Solectron had itself to blame at that juncture as it provided the guidance for analysts;
however, component shortages interfered with its bullish expectations. Although
component shortage issues haven't been entirely resolved, Solectron has won back
many an investor-- and brokerage firm-- with its fiscal Q2 earnings results reported
after the close yesterday. Because Solectron's stock split was effective March 8, but
its reporting period ended February 25, the company reported information that
reflected pre-split data. Accordingly, Solectron posted net income of $116.9 million,
or $0.38 per diluted share, which was in line with estimates and a 49.1% increase
over the year-ago period. Revenues were up 32.4% to a record $2.9 billion (in line
with consensus), and jumped 16% on a sequential basis, reflecting in part the positive
impact of its Smart Modular Technologies acquisition. More importantly for investors,
though, was the company's guidance on its conference call that it was comfortable
with FY00 EPS estimates of $0.85 and that it felt, over time, the consensus estimate
of $1.12 for FY01 would be viewed as being conservative. Bear Stearns observed in
its research note that FY01 estimates could go higher if Solectron wins one or more of
the pending $1 billion contracts; and the way Solectron was talking makes it sound as
if that is about to happen. In any event, there is a great deal of optimism surrounding
the company's prospects as OEM's continue to outsource manufacturing efforts in
order to reduce costs, and expectations build that component shortages will ease. That
optimism is being reflected in the stock, which gapped higher this morning, and has
seen an accompanying surge in volume. In fact, block trades are accounting for
roughly 2/3 of the 12.6 mln shares that have traded to this point. That kind of interest,
no doubt, was helped by positive comments about the stock from the likes of DLJ,
Bear Stearns, CS First Boston, Needham & Co., Banc of America, and Morgan
Stanley Dean Witter. While the quote says SLR is up nearly 4 points, it has actually
jumped more than 7 points from yesterday's close. Hence, with the guidance provided
by the company and the bullish backing provided by Wall Street, it looks as if
Solectron's swoon has ended.-- PJO



To: Johnny Canuck who wrote (25584)3/14/2000 7:44:00 PM
From: Logain Ablar  Respond to of 68393
 
Harry:

If your looking for a semi IC manufacturer in the wireless area you should look @ AHAA, Alpha Industries. They have some pretty good arrangements with MOT.

I don't own any at the momment (haven't in about 6 months and you can tell cause the chart is great) but its a pretty good company.

Tim