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To: Enigma who wrote (50417)3/15/2000 2:41:00 PM
From: goldsheet  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 116815
 
The reason for ABX/NEM difference is so obvious;
Newmont is simply more volatile than Barrick
On up days, NEM is usually up more than ABX
On down days, NEM is usually down more than ABX

I looked at the last 300 trading days, calculated the daily
changes for each, and ended up with an average ratio of 1.6

If ABX goes up 1%, NEM goes up 1.6% (on average)
If ABX goes down 1%, NEM goes down 1.6% (on average)

There will be day-to-day fluctuations and
exceptions when one goes up and the other down.

Today, however, the ratio seems pretty close:

quote.yahoo.com^xau+abx+nem&d=t

ABX down 1.88%, NEM down 2.57%, ratio= 1.4



To: Enigma who wrote (50417)3/15/2000 3:23:00 PM
From: Ken Benes  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 116815
 
I am a day trader and why in the world would any day trader invest in a gold equity when its price is determined by the pog. In times past this relationship would have lent itself to successful day trades, however, with the price of gold fixed in a trading range determined by factors outside of market forces, there is little money day trading gold stocks. Technology issues on the other hand are a veritable gold mine for day traders. If you had an interest in the technology sector you would probably be looking for companies that sell forward their production of microprocessors and had an additional interest in leasing inventoried stock for immediately release into the market. Sounds like the makings for a successful short trade.



To: Enigma who wrote (50417)3/17/2000 3:15:00 AM
From: goldsheet  Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 116815
 
Today was your turn to comment on ABX/NEM

ABX dropped 0.37%
NEM dropped 4.71%

quote.yahoo.com^xau+abx+nem&d=t