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To: Hank Stamper who wrote (12619)	3/20/2000 8:11:00 PM
From: Hank Stamper	Respond to of 15132

Has this been seen here? Ciao, David Todtman...... "Taiwan?s Elections: The Clock on Confrontation Ticks Faster 2001 GMT, 000319 The scene is increasingly volatile. It is unclear that Chen can control the pro-independence forces that have propelled him to power, although he has softened his own rhetoric on independence. Beijing is likely to be confounded by this and the fact that a divided government will soon take shape in Taipei; the nationalists still control the parliament. More hardline factions in Beijing will view this with concern. Conflict right now is unlikely, but the clock on a larger confrontation is now ticking faster." The complete document: stratfor.com