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Strategies & Market Trends : Gorilla and King Portfolio Candidates -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Seeker of Truth who wrote (20856)3/21/2000 2:50:00 AM
From: Dinesh  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 54805
 
Malcolm

I took the liberty of tinkering with Mike's numbers, but
turning the portfolio over every 5 and 10 years (still
within GG realm).

I also posted the formulae if you wanted to tinker with the
numbers in a spreadsheet.

Initial capital $10,000.
Time horizon 30 years.
Growth rate 15%

Strategies:
1. Sell after holding for 30 years, pay 20% taxes

2. Sell and pay 20% taxes every 2 years. Effectively grwoth
rate of (1.15**2 - 1)*0.8 = 25.8%, 15 units of time.

3. Sell and pay 20% taxes every 5 years. Effectively growth
rate of (1.15**5 - 1)*0.8 = 81%, 6 units of time.

4. Sell and pay 20% taxes every 10 years. Effectively growth
rate of (1.15**10 - 1)*0.8 = 244%, 3 units of time.


final amt:if turned every so many years

$248,616 2 years
$351,618 5 years
$407,076 10 years
$529,694 30 years

I love the power of buy and hold. There may also be some
additional tax advantages if you are out of country for
the major part of a year -- something you can easily fund
out of that 20% <g>

Regards
Dinesh



To: Seeker of Truth who wrote (20856)3/21/2000 8:54:00 AM
From: Mike Buckley  Respond to of 54805
 
Malcolm,

The emergence of some newly arrived gorillas could from time to time outweigh the tax advantage.

No question about it.

Take the example of a discontinuous innovation with a proven threat to substitute for your gorilla. In that scenario it would be far better to sell the gorilla, accept the capital gains tax, and move on to the best investment alternative available.

--Mike Buckley