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Technology Stocks : Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Bearded One who wrote (96963)3/21/2000 2:08:00 AM
From: Tom Kearney  Respond to of 164684
 
Bearded One - I don't know how well the bearish point of view has served you, and I don't wish you ill. But since your 1st post to me last August, in regards to some remarks re: Alan Abelson, I have tripled my wealth in this market. That's including the set backs of the last few weeks.

I will be buying VERT at the open tomorrow if I can get it under $200 and am considering a major new investment in AMZN. These erroneous remarks re: cash burn actually open up new opportunities for me; and others I'm sure.

When earning season starts in two weeks, this noise will all be forgotten, and new highs no doubt will be reached. To say the Internet will be very different in a year: well, we all agree with that.

Regards,
Tom



To: Bearded One who wrote (96963)3/21/2000 2:09:00 AM
From: dbblg  Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 164684
 
>>Yahoo will tank, too. The argument is simple-- Yahoo is funded by advertising revenue from many of
the companies on Barron's list.

YHOO has a pretty broad subscriber base. Let us know when you expect Ford, Home Depot, and the major online brokerages to go under. As long as YHOO remains a premier location (and even if you assume roughly half of their users are phantoms, they offer a desirable audience) they'll attract plenty of advertising. Given the trivial amount of money it takes to run the business, they can weather a pretty long wilderness period.

>>This internet may be a very different place in a year.

Way to go out on a limb.:)

Seriously, YHOO would probably be better off now if there had been rougher, or at any rate longer-lasting shakeouts along the way. Ironically, the cost of acquiring GCTY and BCST was so high not because those companies had executed so well, but because YHOO and the other leaders had attracted so much capital to the sector. During the shakeout in summer 1996, Halsey Minor used to tell people that companies like CNET had won the war for the internet since they had managed to get funded (and in CNETs case I think this was still private funding!) before the window had slammed shut. Many poor souls who believed that kind of talk and sold their web-related businesses for a song in 1996 can now be found muttering bitterly about manias and tulips in Palo Alto bars and sometimes even on SI.

Anyway, have fun shorting YHOO. I once clawed my way back from a portfolio-near-death experience by trading exclusively from the short side for almost a year, but I'll never understand the compunction to short growing companies with low-gravity biz. models. Reminds me of the way drunks always pick fights with guys who are bigger than they are, but to each his own, I guess.



To: Bearded One who wrote (96963)3/21/2000 11:01:00 AM
From: Greater Fool  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 164684
 
Shorting stocks is like standing at the doorway of a crowded disco while the crowd flees what it thinks is a fire at the other end of the room. You know it's just the smoke machine, but you'll be trampled anyway.

To effectively invest or speculate, you need to be a good rabble-rouser: "FIRE!"