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"Our last years profile of IWA has moved up substantially this past week, hitting a two year high of $0.84 before settling back at $0.74. Why the movement?
We reported approximately a month ago, they were continuing their drilling program on the BC vein, while at the same time they were moving forward on the mine application permit for the proposed open pit.
We do not think this is the whole story though. In reviewing last years BC Vein results we noted that one hole, BC99-12 appeared to intersect gold bearing material that was totally outside the BC vein.
This intercept, from 360ft to 495ft, a 135ft intersection with grade of 85ft of .154 in sludge and 0.202oz/tonne over the remaining 50ft, for an average 17 over entire length, seems to have been overlooked by everyone at the time, and we understand it was never followed up by drilling in other locations.
Now the rest of this article is pure speculation, as we do not have any hard information to support it, other than hole 99-12. However, with the ongoing drilling, and the strength of the stock, it would not surprise us to see assays come out on the current round of drilling that confirms there is more mineralized material outside the BC vein that has never before been properly scrutinized. If this is the case, there may be a lot more gold on the property than anyone has believed.
We are aware the step out on the BC vein was approximately 1,500ft from last years drill holes, which would bring the known length of the BC vein to a little over 4,000ft. This vein has widths of up to 30ft and for a good portion of the length is at least 900ft deep. They have a calculated resource on approximately 600ft in length, down to 120ft of 17,000oz. They have also stated that there is a reasonable possibility the same grades can be extended to depth giving approximately another 90,000oz more.
Now assuming the grades are consistent along the entire BC Vein, this would indicate approximately 400,000 ounces ( in our original, table napkin calculations we came up with 600,000oz ) This of course does not include any of the mineralized material outside the BC vein that has shown up in hole 99-12, that may in fact be able to increase the width of the mineralized zone and thus the available ounces.
The inferred amount of ore grade material in the BC vein is almost, if not enough, for a mine in its own right, not taking into account the resource of 1 million/oz in the proposed open pit, so any additional gold discovered in or around the BC vein, makes this an even more attractive stock.
It is no secret that the senior producers are looking at all the juniors that have been working through this downturn to see if there is a possibility there are enough drilled out ounces to warrant adding them to their companies. Especially since they have been niggardly in their own exploration expenditures. Glamis is a case in point. With $100 million earmarked for a possible takeover.
So here is even more speculation. We would suggest if there are any more gold discoveries by IWA in the Cariboo camp, their stock will be the target of a takeover by one of the seniors. Who is working in BC right now? Homestake, we know Kinross has a piece of Wayside already from a private placement a couple of years ago, Glamis has money in the bank burning a hole in their pocket. In fact if Glamis wants to add to their current 250,000 or so oz annual production, they could do worse than look at Wayside. IWA has the proposed open pit with a resource of 1 million ounces and are proposing a 100,000oz/yr operation, so that will be a large jump in Glamis's annual production if they take it on. Further to that, the cost to get this project up and running will not break the bank.
Who else is there? Newmont has a piece of the adjacent property that IWA has just joint ventured that has an adit that runs to within 400ft of the BC vein shaft from the Barkerville side. Newmont has been moving out of the BC, but who knows, since they used to own the Island Mountain Mine at one time, that IWA has taken over in the consolidation of the Wells Gold camp and they are very knowledgeable about the camp.
The one consideration that has not been taken into account this past year while Wayside was languishing under $0.20, was the consolidation of the camp. This gives any company taking over Wayside a very large property that has numerous gold occurrences that have never been fully exploited due to the fractured nature of the prior ownership. Maybe this will also be a big consideration in the economics of taking IWA over.
From our profile of Wayside at $0.18, a little over sixteen months ago, we have seen a fourfold increase. Not in the same leagues as some of the internet stocks, but as the price is a little more affordable, we consider this a very healthy gain and we believe there is more gain to come in this stock. Of course there is the commensurate risk that comes with buying a stock at $0.74 that has just had a large run up rather than the $0.18 that we profiled it at, but that is the risk of the game.
Which is also why there are no guarantees in the speculation game. And as always, while we believe the information is reliable, it is also very speculative in nature, we cannot guarantee it does not have flaws in it and any action taken on this information is at the sole risk of the reader."
Joe |