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Technology Stocks : Aware, Inc. - Hot or cold IPO? -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: johnlea who wrote (8227)3/22/2000 2:07:00 PM
From: ayahuasca  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 9236
 
Here is an email I just sent to Aware's IR. I only had a few minutes to bang it out...

Hi there.

I have been an investor in Aware for a good while now and am enthusiastic about
the outlook for the company. What troubles me is the seeming divergence in stock
price between Aware and other similar companies such as VRTA and GSPN. The
latter two have exploded into the stratosphere and now command market caps of
3.2 and almost 8 billion respectively. Aware on the other hand has a much lower
cap of around 1 billion.

What I am having trouble figuring out is why the analysts and the market seem to
value those two companies at such a higher level than Aware. Aware has a very
strong client list and their prospects seem every bit as bright (if not brighter) than
these other two companies. So why the divergence in valuation? Why the lack of
attention? Is there something fundamental that I am missing here?

I have been very impressed with Aware's recent updates to investors and their
immediate response to the recent VRTA announcement. It is comforting to know
that the company is concerned with keeping their investors up to speed on industry
developments and I, for one, greatly appreciate that. Perhaps this proactive stance
should be expanded in an effort to get more of the analyst community interested in
the stock. This is the time when people should be looking at the amazing growth in
DSL and Aware's substantial position in making it all happen. What we seem to
have instead is an extremely volitile stock with little institutional support which is
dreadfully undervalued compared to it's peer group.

Any insight you can share regarding these matters would be most welcome. Thanks
for your time.

Best,

Mark A. Jordan



To: johnlea who wrote (8227)3/22/2000 3:28:00 PM
From: Scrapps  Respond to of 9236
 
John. RE: Your comments on GSPN....

I decided to take the time to read GSPN's last 10-Q and find this portion worth sharing. Especially when we know that LU is GSPN's FAB and could slow the production of chips to GSPN in favor of a LU customer deal.

A relatively small number of customers account for a large percentage of
our net revenues. Our business will be seriously harmed if we do not generate as
much revenue as we expect from these customers, or experience a loss of any of
our significant customers, particularly Cisco Systems, or suffer a substantial
reduction in orders from such customers. In the five months ended December 31,
1996, the years ended December 31, 1997 and 1998 and the nine months ended
September 30, 1999, our customers who individually represented at least five
percent of our net revenues accounted for 85.5%, 72.6%, 70.1% and 61.0%,
respectively, of our net revenues. In 1996, our top three customers were Lucent
Technologies, LG Information & Communications and Ascom Hasler AG, which
accounted for 27.2%, 15.9% and 12.0% of our net revenues, respectively. In 1997,
our top three customers were LG Information & Communications, Ascom Hasler AG
and Westell Technologies, which accounted for 21.4%, 12.5% and 9.6% of our net
revenues, respectively. In 1998, our top three customers were Cisco Systems, NEC
Corporation and Ascom Hasler AG, which accounted for 48.3%, 12.6% and 9.2% of
our net revenues, respectively. In the nine months ended September 30, 1999, our
top three customers were Cisco Systems, Paradyne Corporation, and Ascom Hasler
AG, which accounted for 46.1%, 7.7% and 7.2% of our net revenues, respectively.
We do not have purchase contracts with any of our customers that obligate them
to continue to purchase our products and these customers could cease purchasing
our products at any time. Furthermore, it is possible that DSL equipment
manufacturers, such as Cisco Systems, Paradyne Corporation, and Ascom Hasler AG,
may design and develop internally, or acquire, their own chip set technology,
rather than continue to purchase chip sets from third parties such as us. We
expect that sales of our products to relatively few customers will continue to
account for a significant portion of our net revenues for the foreseeable
future.



To: johnlea who wrote (8227)3/22/2000 3:49:00 PM
From: Scrapps  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 9236
 
GSPN mentions in their 10-Q they register DSL ASICs from LU, would there be a remote chance LU is able to pedal AWRE technologies?