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To: Jim Oravetz who wrote (3982)	3/27/2000 12:31:00 PM
From: Jim Oravetz	Respond to of 5390

( BW)CAHNERS-IN-STAT Many Routes to 3G Deployment -- Options Depend On Starting Point Business Editors/High-Tech Writers SCOTTSDALE, Ariz.--March 27, 2000--The evolution of wireless communications systems from the second to the third generation will not have a singular, or easy solution concludes Cahners In-Stat Group, a high-tech market research firm. 3G service will be mandatory to sustain the greatest asset of the worldwide GSM network, the subscriber's ability to seamlessly roam throughout a multinational network. While 3G/UMTS offers a convergence roadmap, both migrating and new service providers will face significant implementation obstacles. "The actual deployment of 3G will not occur homogeneously. Implementation timetables will vary by geographic region," stated Ray Jodoin, Senior Analyst for In-Stat's Wireless group. "Whether or not the service provider is a 1G/2G incumbent, and whether UMTS frequencies are used, will significantly influence strategy decisions. Deployment schemes must be weighed relative to the economic and technology issues. Even new service providers who start off with 3G infrastructure face difficult cost decisions regarding site and tower acquisition, as well as potentially huge auction fees." The In-Stat research also reveals: -- Additional revenue generated from wireless-commerce transactions could easily result in the service provider's highest margins. -- In-Stat currently estimates that "forklift" upgrades to an existing GSM network could reach 145% of the original infrastructure investment. -- In early 2001, Japan will lead with service, followed by Western Europe in mid to late 2003. The report, On the Road to 3G: A Migration Roadmap (No. GW0003IN), provides overviews of 2G System and 3G Spectrum specifications, presents incumbent migration and new 3G provider options, discusses financial implications, including conversion cost estimates, and much more. To purchase this report, or for more information about In-Stat research, please call Matt Woods at 617/630-2139; mwoods@instat.com or visit to purchase online. The report price is $1995 USD. Jim