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To: Doug who wrote (17934)3/27/2000 2:29:00 PM
From: Daniel  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 18016
 
> Bill: If you were selling your car and your Son was buying
> a car what would be your nett expectation.?

> The stock market needs to accommodate both generations.
> Short term greed can be very damaging in the long run.

I thought his point was that you seemed to be missing the obvious difference:

Other things have value (what they can used for) other than just their resale value, so buyers like lower prices (to get the same value for a lower cost). Lower prices don't decrease the value.

Stocks have no value other than their expected potential future resale value*. Lower prices do reduce the current known value, and therefore can reduce the expected future value (making the potential future value less sure).

*[ignoring dividends and acquiring partial control of a company]

Therefore it's no surprise that low stock prices don't yield the same positive reaction as low consumer goods prices.

I guess the real issue is how much to think the current known price indicates something about the expected future value.

(I'm using "expect" in the statistical sense: what you can expect on average; not specific predictions.)

Daniel

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