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Gold/Mining/Energy : Gold Price Monitor -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Rarebird who wrote (50756)3/27/2000 11:19:00 AM
From: LLCF  Respond to of 116786
 
<The great speculators in the financial markets are betting that Greenspan will succeed again. One need only look at the POG, along with the current valuation of the S@P and Nasdaq to see that this is the case.>

Although it amounts to the same thing, I would submit that most holders of S&P [etc] are unwitting believers in the status quo. This is probably what accounts for the slow 'battle ship turning' reaction during market turns. As many have stated, don't expect to wake up one morning with a guy on the news announcing the bull market in stocks is over and gold is beginning. A large portion of current gold holders will be out and waiting for the correction during some of the largest run ups as the current thinking unravels slowly like a train wreck in slow motion.

DAK



To: Rarebird who wrote (50756)3/27/2000 1:32:00 PM
From: LLCF  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 116786
 
I like this one from John Hathaway:

"Gold equities are exceptionally cheap at the moment.
According to the respected research team at Scotia
Bank, they currently trade at a discount of 18% to net
present value, an unprecedented low valuation, even
before the September 1999 rally. Because of the lengthy
gold bear market, exacerbated by hedging and short
selling, shares of gold mining companies, not surprisingly,
have ranked among the worst performers over the last
twenty years. The global market capitalization of the
industry is less than $50 billion. The market cap of one
high tech company, Qualcomm, has gained and then lost
this amount in the last six weeks. Industry earnings are all
but non-existent apart from hedge book profits. Financial
staying power for many companies would be in doubt if
the gold price remains depressed. Concerned senior
executives are considering how they can engineer a
reversal of fortune from a near evisceration of shareholder
value."

DAK