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To: Paul Engel who wrote (101707)3/28/2000 9:04:00 PM
From: jeff greene  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 186894
 
How do you place a valuation on limitless opportunities...

Out: Microsoft, In: Cisco & Intel
Kevin Prigel
Mar 27 2000 Cisco [CSCO] will surpass Microsoft [MSFT] to become the world's
largest company this week, and Intel [INTC] is not far behind. There are a
few fundamental reasons behind the one-time behemoth's demise, and they lead
to only one conclusion: sell Microsoft in favor of Cisco and Intel.

Over the past 52 weeks, the market has realized these facts, and Microsoft's
stock has languished while Intel and Cisco have soared. But what factors have
led to their rise?

* The demand for bandwidth is insatiable. The world has never had the
opportunity to value two companies that create products that attempt to
satisfy insatiable demand. How do you value limitless opportunity? No one
really knows, and until they do, Cisco and Intel will keep moving higher.


* The demand for processing power is insatiable. As bandwidth becomes
omnipresent and omnipotent in the computing world, the demand for processing
power to utilize the bandwidth increases exponentially. As bandwidth
increases, processing power hogs like streaming video, video games
proliferate. This creates demand at the client level--and to an even greater
extent, at the server level.

* Operating systems are dead. Companies like Linux, BeOS, and Palm are all
striving for the Holy Grail: the transparent operating system. The same
devices that drive demand for Cisco's bandwidth and Intel's processors will
not use Microsoft's products.

* Devices are the future. The Internet's future involves everything. Blue
Tooth technology makes that possible. Intel is a vital part of the Blue Tooth
enabling community, and Cisco will build the networks to serve all of those
devices. Once again, no Microsoft here.

* Real leadership comes from innovation. Cisco and Intel both compete
fiercely with rivals and dominate markets because they create the world's
most innovative products. Microsoft leads with a monopoly and has largely
ignored innovation to favor of integration. Microsoft's monopoly will end
suddenly and painfully, and it won't require a government edict.