To: H James Morris who wrote (97917 ) 3/30/2000 11:44:00 PM From: GST Respond to of 164684
Reuters Asset Allocation Table (Tokyo) for April TOKYO, March 31 (Reuters) - The following tables reflect model portfolios drawn up by Japan-based investors as of March 31 for asset allocations in April. Comparisons in brackets are from the previous survey for March. A similar poll is done from London (key GB/ASSET and hit F9) and from New York (key US/ASSET and hit F9). The survey features forecasts of ranges of yen/dollar rates for April and the Nikkei Stock Average for April. It also has the results of a survey on topics, sectors and companies that investors are focusing on. (Inquiries: Please call Akiko Ishiwata on +81-3 3432-6308.) EQUITIES BONDS CASH Nomura 47 (47) 47 (48) 6 (5) Okasan 50 (30) 25 (30) 25 (40) Tokyo Sec 40 (40) 30 (30) 30 (30) Nikko Asset 47 (47) 47 (47) 6 (6) Partners Inv 91.7(92.9) 0 (0) 8.3(7.1) Daiwa 80 (80) 15 (15) 5 (5) Kokusai Inv 50 (50) 45 (45) 5 (5) Dowa 45 (45) 30 (30) 25 (25) --------------------------------------------------------- Mar poll avg: 56.34 29.88 13.79 Feb poll avg: 52.43 31.67 15.90 Jan poll avg: 54.04 30.00 15.96 Dec poll avg: 55.54 30.00 14.46 Nov poll avg: 54.86 29.78 15.37 Oct poll avg: 49.53 32.44 18.02 Sept poll avg: 48.49 32.78 18.73 Aug poll avg 53.44 33.50 13.06 July poll avg 52.55 33.88 13.58 June poll avg 52.32 32.67 15.01 May poll avg 47.26 37.11 15.63 Apr poll avg 47.11 36.56 16.33 Mar poll avg 46.45 40.91 12.65 ---------------------------------------------------------- GLOBAL EQUITIES (yen-based, unhedged, allocation in pct) Benchmark: Morgan Stanley Capital International (MSCI) US/CAN UK GER FRA EURO NON-EURO JPN ASIA EMRG Nomura 31 8 8 5 5 2 36 5 0 (30) (7) (9) (5) (6) (2) (36) (5) (0) Daiwa 20 9 11 11 6 3 36 3 1 (20) (9) (11) (11) (6) (3) (36) (3) (1) Okasan 15 5 20 10 5 0 35 10 0 (15) (10) (10) (10) (5) (0) (35) (15) (0) Tokyo Sec 23 5 15 10 11 3 31 2 0 (23) (5) (15) (10) (11) (3) (28) (5) (0) Nikko Asset 47.6 9.3 6.8 6.6 7.4 5.5 13.4 3.5 0 (47.6)(9.8) (6.5) (6.6)(6.7) (5.9) (13.5) (3.4) (0) Daiwa 50 10 10 7 1 0 20 2 0 (45) (12) (11) (8) (3) (1) (18) (2) (0) Partners 65.9 3.2 0.4 4.4 4.4 1 20.8 0 0 Inv (62.5)(2.6) (0.4) (4.6) (5.0) (0) (24.8) (0.1) (0) Kokusai Inv 32 5 10 7 3 0 40 3 0 (32) (5) (10) (7) (3) (0) (40) (3) (0) Dowa 40 6 10 7 6 6 25 0 0 (35) (6) (12) (8) (7) (6) (25) (1) (0) Nissay 50.5 9.5 7.5 7.5 6 2 15.5 1.5 0 (51) (9) (7.5) (7.5) (6) (2) (15.5) (1.5) (0) US/CAN UK GER FRA EURO NON-EURO JPN ASIA EMRGMKT Mar avg: 37.50 7.00 9.87 7.55 5.48 2.25 27.27 3.00 0.10 Feb avg: 37.65 7.67 8.95 7.61 6.15 2.45 25.62 3.82 0.09 Jan avg: 38.10 7.69 8.87 7.73 6.26 2.40 25.11 3.74 0.09 Dec avg: 38.62 8.36 9.19 7.45 6.50 2.54 24.05 3.19 0.09 Nov avg: 40.02 8.10 8.68 7.27 6.05 2.71 23.22 3.86 0.09 Oct avg: 39.04 8.06 8.94 7.36 6.47 2.63 23.56 3.86 0.09 Sept avg: 40.69 8.74 8.86 7.16 5.85 2.71 21.88 4.00 0.10 Aug avg: 40.91 8.46 8.82 7.08 6.42 2.58 21.78 3.85 0.09 Jul avg: 44.66 8.45 8.19 6.59 6.74 2.81 20.44 1.92 0.20 Jun avg: 43.37 8.70 7.43 6.74 6.61 2.65 20.50 3.75 0.27 May avg: 44.13 8.65 7.93 6.52 5.94 2.42 20.73 3.41 0.27 Apr avg: 45.01 8.02 8.01 6.56 5.99 2.27 21.09 2.68 0.36 Mar avg: 44.15 8.25 8.86 6.63 7.13 2.54 20.54 1.73 0.15 Feb avg: 43.25 8.99 9.57 7.55 6.94 2.77 18.96 1.81 0.15 US/CAN UK GER FRA EURO JPN ASIA EMRGMKT Jan avg: 42.72 8.82 10.31 7.18 9.98 18.58 2.27 0.15 Dec avg: 42.54 9.46 9.92 7.27 9.81 17.65 3.12 0.23 Nov avg: 44.54 9.08 10.23 7.46 8.46 16.96 2.96 0.31 Oct avg: 44.92 9.46 10.85 7.54 8.38 16.00 2.54 0.31 GLOBAL BONDS (yen-based, unhedged, allocation in pct) Benchmark: Salomon Brothers global bond index US/CAN UK GER FRA EURO NON-EURO JPN ASIA EMRG Nomura 42 15 15 10 9 3 6 0 0 (42) (15) (15) (10) (9) (3) (6) (0) (0) Okasan 52.5 10 7.5 5 5 7.5 5 7.5 0 (50) (12.5) (10) (5) (7.5) (2.5) (7.5) (5) (0) Tokyo Sec 25 15 25 10 17 5 3 0 0 (25) (15) (25) (10) (17) (5) (3) (0) (0) Nikko 37 8 55 0 0 0 0 0 0 Asset (37) (8) (55) (0) (0) (0) (0) (0) (0) Kokusai 40 10 16 10 9 3 12 0 0 Inv (40) (10) (16) (10) (9) (3) (12) (0) (0) Dowa 34 9 7 7 15 7 21 0 0 (34) (9) (7) (7) (15) (7) (21) (0) (0) US/CAN UK GER FRA EURO NON-EURO JPN ASIA EMRGMKT Mar avg: 38.42 11.17 20.92 7.00 9.17 4.25 7.83 1.25 0 Feb avg: 37.43 10.93 20.00 7.86 9.93 3.07 9.64 1.14 0 Jan avg: 36.93 10.93 20.00 7.86 9.93 3.07 9.79 1.50 0 Dec avg: 36.43 11.07 20.43 8.50 9.64 3.07 9.00 1.86 0 Nov avg: 36.57 11.07 20.43 8.14 10.50 3.07 9.07 1.14 0 Oct avg: 36.57 10.29 20.07 8.00 10.64 3.07 10.21 1.14 0 Sept avg:37.00 10.33 21.08 8.33 9.75 2.92 8.75 1.83 0 Aug avg: 38.43 10.57 19.79 8.29 9.36 3.07 9.36 1.14 0 July avg:38.17 10.33 21.67 8.67 9.67 3.17 7.67 0.67 0 June avg:41.71 10.43 17.79 8.14 9.43 3.07 8.14 1.29 0 May avg: 44.71 11.86 13.29 8.00 8.93 3.07 8.86 1.29 0 Apr avg: 43.00 11.86 13.64 8.07 10.21 3.07 9.00 1.14 0 Mar avg: 44.56 10.22 18.61 6.28 8.61 2.17 9.44 0.11 0 Feb avg: 45.17 10.00 18.61 6.61 7.61 2.17 9.72 0.11 0 US CANADA JAPAN UK FRA GER EURO ASIA Jan avg: 46.11 2.56 8.89 9.83 7.72 16.06 8.72 0.11 Dec avg: 46.67 2.67 8.89 9.44 6.94 15.11 10.17 0.11 Nov avg: 47.83 2.89 8.72 9.44 6.61 14.22 10.17 0.11 Oct avg: 45.83 2.89 9.11 10.56 6.50 15.61 9.39 0.11 --------------------------------------------------------------- Contributors to the survey expect the dollar/yen exchange rate and the 225-stock Nikkei average to fluctuate within the following ranges in April: Yen-Dollar Nikkei average Nomura 105.00-115.00 18,500-21,000 Daiwa 102.00-112.00 19,000-21,500 Tokyo Sec 103.00-113.00 19,500-21,000 Partners 105.00-110.00 19,000-21,000 Nikko Asset 100.00-112.00 17,500-20,500 Daiwa 105.00-111.00 19,000-21,000 Dowa 105.00-110.00 19,000-21,500 Okasan 104.00-109.00 19,500-21,500 Kokusai Asset 104.00-114.00 18,800-20,500 AVERAGE 103.70-112.10 18,922-21,222 Contributors: Nomura Securities Financial Research Center, Daiwa Institute of Research (DIR), Okasan Economic Research, Tokyo Securities, Nikko Asset Management, Partners Asset Management Corp, Daiwa Asset Management, Dowa Kasai Investment Management, Kokusai Asset Management and Nissay Asset Management. ------------------------------------------------------------- -