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To: Jim Willie CB who wrote (10061)3/30/2000 11:17:00 PM
From: Ruffian  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 35685
 
Salomon Smith Barney ~ March 30, 2000

Wireless equipment stocks have experienced strong growth over the last
few years, but we believe the fundamentals for the group may be poised
to, on the margin, accelerate.
* Spectrum auctions underway in Europe will translate into four major
catalysts that will occur over the next one to 24 months, driving
excitement in the wireless equipment sector

* In fact, order rates and backlog should once again accelerate to levels
not seen since 1995 and 1996 when fundamentals turned up due to the
spectrum auctions in the U.S. and Brazil

* Ericsson is one of the most obvious winners along with Nokia, which
will receive the added benefit of a change in perception from primarily a
handset play to an infrastrcuture play as well

* Motorola and its partner Cisco are gaining mind share in Europe

* AirNet and interWAVE should be huge beneficiries as well

* All routes lead to Qualcomm as the biggest winner of all

* In short, concentrate on stocks with the greatest wireless exposure.
This would include Ericsson, Motorola, Nokia and Qualcomm as well as
smaller stocks such as AirNet and interWAVE.

We believe there are four major catalysts to drive wireless stocks both
on a near- and long-term basis. These are the issuance of 3G licenses in
Europe, large contract awards for wireless infrastructure, revenue and
earnings acceleration, and finally another acceleration in mobile
phones. We recommend a basket investment approach in stocks with a large
relative exposure to the wireless industry. Our top wireless stocks for
2000 are Ericsson (ERICY-1M-$85 1/2)#, Motorola (MOT-1M-$143 13/16),
Nokia (NOK-1M-$208 1/16), and Qualcomm (QCOM-2H-$145 15/64). For those
looking for more aggressive investments in smaller capitalization stocks
with faster top line growth potential, we would also add wireless
equipment suppliers such as AirNet (ANCC-1H-$34 3/8)# and interWAVE
(IWAV-1H-$23 1/16) to our basket.

QUALCOMM, THE HIDDEN AND THE BIGGEST BENEFICIARY OF ALL 3G NETWORKS
A less obvious, but probably the biggest winner in 3G, is Qualcomm
because it will collect royalties from every company that plans to
manufacture and sell of 3G infrastructure and subscriber equipment based
on CDMA technology whether it's CDMA2000 that has its roots in the United
States or W-CDMA that has its roots in Europe

MOBILE DATA DRIVES 3G
Mobile data applications should grow this year as more carriers launch
trials of enhanced services, while mobile data could explode to the
forefront in 2001. We believe the growth in mobile data will play an
important role in driving traffic and obviously in driving infrastructure
equipment spending upward.



To: Jim Willie CB who wrote (10061)3/31/2000 1:48:00 AM
From: Boplicity  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 35685
 
If you look at the QQQ you can see the last high was on declining vol. Look at the stoch. compare it other down trends, scary looking, isn't it. Looks to be to be just beginning the down trend. Look at the number of down days in a row during this correction and the last one just a few weeks ago. Compare it to past correction, the drops are bigger. I read that as one scared market, that will sell into any strength. If it wasn't for earnings season coming up, I would be sure that we would be going lower. It's the end of the qr. now. Where is the end of the quarter buying we have seen for what seems like forever? What we are seeing is the exact opposite of the past end of the qr. window dressing, it is now to sell to make it look better.

Greg