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Strategies & Market Trends : Group Therapy -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Alan C. Zezula who wrote (1030)4/3/2000 1:31:00 PM
From: Duane L. Olson  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 4564
 
Al, most TA is probabilistic, which means it works for a person some percentage of the time. It seems to work better the more things you are examining; so, if you are looking at an index, it's pretty fair....still pretty good for a sector, like Oil/Oil Service SW, or Semis. It gets less useful for individual stocks -- and is almost useless for the smallest stocks....wish it was better at the precise points -- especially on stocks. Only occasionally does my own TA give me really good, precise points on stocks. Other folks, like E!, or TA-Anon, seem to be able to throw a little something extra into the equation and come up with a higher success ratio.
And, of course there are the Country Boys of the world, who seem to have nearly uncanny instincts for entry and exit points, patterns be damned!<G>.. siliconinvestor.com
As for the Naz here (see above)... I don't see support at 4300 holding for more than an "Al bounce".... The pattern isn't telling us that yet, so far as I can see, but the divergence has been so extreme that common sense tells us to look for something lower than the 4300 support, maybe later in the week, after a (big?) rally attempt....
I haven't set a re-entry point on LTXX yet, Al... nor for LSI or TXCC or NTAP, CNXT, VTSS, ALTR, ATML...looking at them all for possible entry late in the second quarter (tentative)...
Right now -- Cash it nice.... and I'm beginning to think that 60%+ wasn't near enough <G>..... But I usually miss the start of the next "UP" phase, so I like to keep an oar in the water.... Right now I just want to preserve some of those Feb profits <gg>
tso