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Gold/Mining/Energy : North American Palladium(AMEX:PAL)- PGM Producer -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Sleeper who wrote (547)4/4/2000 12:16:00 PM
From: Claude Cormier  Respond to of 976
 
Sleeper,

You may be right. Time will tell. Palladium is rare for sure. But its uses are also limited. There was a switch from Pt into Pd a few years ago. There reverse can happen.

Silver is certainly a lot more available than Pd is. But fabrication demand is also much higher, 100 times higher.

I don't think Pd can return to the low prices it was, but it could get back to the $300-$400 range.. easily. And with below $400 PD, PDL would have much lower cash flows and would take much longer to pay of its debts.

CC



To: Sleeper who wrote (547)4/4/2000 1:52:00 PM
From: Jason Marcotte  Respond to of 976
 
I view the financing as good news for PDL. Had PDL done an equity financing a few years back, instead of taking on a huge debt, then the company certainly would have weathered the drop in palladium prices to the $120 level, and would have been making money for the past 2 years by now.

I further note that an equity issue will enlarge the currently very small float, bringing in new investors (possibly tech refugees!) and perhaps create a mutual fund/ financial analyst following. With the kind of cash flow this project will throw off, an extra 6 million shares won't matter. It may mean the difference between a $40 share and a $30 share, but I am willing to accept those kind of returns.

Jason