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Strategies & Market Trends : MDA - Market Direction Analysis -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Arial who wrote (45187)	4/6/2000 12:04:00 AM
From: el paradisio	Respond to of 99985

Arial,I think everything above 30 I would consider as as a small or bigger correction. What is also relevant, is the time how long VIX will stay above 30. If VIX does stay more than 1-2 days above 30,that can suggest something more serious is coming. As concern extrapolation,I think that it is possible to see some spikes around 60, but only for a very short time. Regards, El Paradisio

To: Arial who wrote (45187)	4/13/2000 10:25:00 PM
From: Arial	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 99985

Trading day wave count. . . . . Decent 63 day (13 weeks) DJIA cycle that may align with Prechter's wave count. (I don't subscribe to him, but someone posted his belief that we are in wave 3.) 7-20-99 - start of a-b-c correction - day 1 8-05-99 - bottom (13 days) 8-24-99 - top (13 days) 9-13-99 - top (13 days) 9-30-99 - bottom (13 days) 10-15-99 - end of wave (c) and wave 4 (total 63 days from 7-20) 10-18-99 - day 1 (beginning of wave 5) 12-03-99 - 34th day (spike to old high) 01-04-00 - 55th day (violent shakeout) 01-14-00 - 63rd day (wave 5 top) 03-13-00 - wave 1 bottom (39 days = .618 x 63) 04-04-00 - 55th day (shakeout city) 04-11-00 - end of wave 2? (60th day, but 21st day of rally} 63rd day is Monday - Black Monday or a short term bottom courtesy of the PPT team? Regards