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Strategies & Market Trends : MDA - Market Direction Analysis -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: el paradisio who wrote (45424)4/9/2000 5:25:00 AM
From: yu  Respond to of 99985
 

Message #45424 from el paradisio at Apr 8 2000 2:00PM

>> Juniper will take at least 10% of CSCO revenue.

That is a very big assumption.
First of all, I could be wrong but Juniper has only
one product while Cisco has many many more that covers
almost all areas. The sales is about 150:1.
Profit is not comparable since Juniper is still
losing money.

Juniper might be a respcetable competitor in
the backbone big router market but it is still
non existent in all other areas.

IMHO CSCO valuation is way too high but JNPR valuation
is plain ridiculous.



To: el paradisio who wrote (45424)4/10/2000 9:52:00 AM
From: pater tenebrarum  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 99985
 
ep, regarding CSCO, i think that while it's a great company and all, the stock price reflects already more than perfection...the same is true for JNPR. CSCO is trading at almost 40 times revenues and a p/e over 200...with a stock like that you run the risk of your investment being cut in half on the slightest disappointment. yes, the future is likely bright...but, that is priced in. that said, i thought it was priced in at much lower levels already. there's no telling how far the mania will take those extremes...

regards,

hb