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To: Bilow who wrote (39429)4/9/2000 12:18:00 AM
From: Dave B  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 93625
 
Carl,

Hi Dave B; Re high price or RIMM modules. This was supposed to change by now, wasn't it?

I don't remember anyone ever publishing a schedule of price declines. Actually, what I do remember is a lot of people saying that RDRAM would never, ever, ever work, that it would run too hot, and that "unbiased" benchmarks would show that there was no advantage to RDRAM. Well, all of those predictions have been proven false. Even the "it's too expensive" arguments are invalid when you look at the system price. How many of the anti-RDRAM folks said you'd never see it in systems under $2500? Three months after the introduction of RDRAM-based systems, you can already get them for under $2000! It's just the add-on memory that's still expensive.

Sure, I'd love for the price to come down quickly, but I'm not sweating it. You don't make an evolutionary change like this to the infrastructure in 3 months. I will even admit to feeling a bit foolish -- I consulted for a hard drive company for 3 years and during the periods when hard drives were in the "limited availability", the first customers who got cut were the retail customers using the same "for every drive sold to retail, that's one less complete system that can be built" logic. I should have remembered that lesson.

Living in Silicon Valley, I also know memory systems designers and what I hear consistently is that DDR is the end of the line for "SDRAM-like" technology. A dead end. As the PC Magazine article shows, there is a definite advantage to RDRAM and when the prices do decline, it will begin to appear in more and more mainstream systems.

Dave