To: Bilow who wrote (39440 ) 4/10/2000 10:53:00 AM From: Dave B Respond to
Carl,Hi Dave B; I never, ever said that RDRAM would never, ever work. I never said that you would never see them in systems under $2000. What I did say was that RDRAM would be plagued by high cost, (not necessarily high price, mind you), difficult manufacturing, reliability issues, and lack of price/performance. All of these things have come to pass. won all 15 tests except 1 . Do you think Compaq, HP, Polywell, etc. are going to look at those results and say "Oh, it's okay if we come in second." Don't think so. As for the pricing, let's talk in a year. You keep harping about it at this point in time when in fact no one has ever argued about the fact that it was going to be expensive at the start. So none of the things you predicted have come to pass when you take the long view. My guess is that eventually the cost of RIMMs will stabilize at somewhere between 1.5 and 2 times the cost of DIMMs. This is in keeping with other industry estimates for the ratio. A year ago I thought that the above pricing would have come about long before now, at least by the end of last year I am not at all unreasonable, nor have I seen the posts you are talking about, the ones that stated that RDRAM would never work. Please provide some links to comments on this thread to that effect, I don't think they exist.
