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Politics : Formerly About Advanced Micro Devices -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: niceguy767 who wrote (103244)4/9/2000 3:26:00 PM
From: eplace  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 1574711
 
niceguy...re:.In fact that $100 price target could arrive abruptly on April 13...AMD, with its recent close above $60, the upper boundary of its 5 year trading range, signalled confirmation of the paradigm shift, ushered in a new trading range between $60 and $100 and evidenced the initial stages of the bandwagon effect...

Niceguy, I also believe that on Thursday or Friday this week $100.00 is a real possibility. I think 90 is better than 50/50 for this week at some point (at least intraday). Good luck to all of us AMD longs. If Thunderbird and Spitfire are as successful as I think they can be, Intel may start to see some hits on the server/business side. This may make the recent moves for AMD stock seem small in comparison.

Ed P.



To: niceguy767 who wrote (103244)4/9/2000 3:35:00 PM
From: Joe NYC  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 1574711
 
ng,

Just finished a review of my AMD files and charts...and they are telling me that AMD July calls may be one of the most rewarding investments for Y2000.

I am looking at those as well, and I find them incredibly expensive. Which strikes do you like?

I am looking at May bull spreads now. Consider this: Buy May 60 for 18 1/4 (ask), sell May 80 for 7 1/8 (bid) for a debit of $1,112.50 per contract. If the stock ends up above 80, you realize maximum profit of $2,000 per contract, or 79% gain in 1 month. (you have 2 more months to do this until July). Breakeven is 60 + 11 1/8 = 71 1/8. If the stock ends up below 71 1/8, you lose money, anything above, you make money.

A slightly safer (but less rewarding) choice would be let's say May 55 long call and May 75 short call. May 55 call is 21 7/8 ask, May 75 is 9 1/4 bid. The cost to acquire it is 12 5/8, or $1,262.50 per contract, the maximum profit (at $75 and higher) $2,000 again, but only 58% return. Breakeven is at 55 + 12 5/8 = 67 5/8.

Joe



To: niceguy767 who wrote (103244)4/9/2000 3:41:00 PM
From: Gopher Broke  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 1574711
 
Niceguy:

AMD July calls may be one of the most rewarding investments for Y2000

Are you talking the July 85 at 10 3/4? They are a much higher risk now than the equivalent calls were a couple of months ago :( AMD may be moving up, but what if the Nasdaq has a bad period through the middle of summer?

You can get Jan 80s for 19 which is a 5$ lower strike, leaving the additional premium over the July calls at only
$3 1/4. AMD should move up between July and October so why take the risk on the July calls?