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Strategies & Market Trends : MDA - Market Direction Analysis -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: bobby beara who wrote (45642)	4/11/2000 7:11:00 PM
From: John Madarasz	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 99985

Weekly Positive Economic Commentary... Does Inversion Imply Recession? ...Under these circumstances, then, it would be preferable to look at the spread between AAA corporates versus fed funds for information about the future behavior of the economy and whether Fed policy is starting to get some traction. If we make the (heroic?) assumption that this spread has regained some of its leading indicator characteristics, then we can say that its narrowing foreshadows some slowing in real GDP growth from its 4.6% growth in the past two years. But with this spread currently at a relatively lofty 160 basis points, it would seem that talk of a recession is premature at this point. ntrs.com Best Regards, John

To: bobby beara who wrote (45642)	4/11/2000 7:47:00 PM
From: el paradisio	Read Replies (2) \| Respond to of 99985

BOBBY BEARA,I like your discussion and have no clue where this market is heading yet,I would say trading range for now. What I've noticed in your posts, many comparison to the to the 70, 80.....I fully agree about the cycles, overvaluation,buying on margin, credit cards and so on. Few weeks ago,we had a nice discussion on that subject. "Crash 2000" I was even thinking to open a new thread under that title, but I am to busy. There is one post on the WCOM thread ,I like the most and want you to read it: Message 13330162 I think,the time has changed and we are experiencing so called "internet revolution",which can bring a different aspect not only to our life but to the stock market as well. Regards, el paradisio