SI
SI
discoversearch

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor.  We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community.  If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.
Politics : Formerly About Advanced Micro Devices -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: 5dave22 who wrote (104540)4/12/2000 5:55:00 PM
From: Epinephrine  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 1577530
 
RE: <ps - this enthusiasm reminds me of three months ago (1/18?). The next day we were all left scratching our heads!>

5Dave22 (Dave),

This is actually exactly what I have been silently thinking. I am hoping that this time will be different but the core of my enthusiasm is still tempered by the knowlege that the reaction matters as much as the numbers. Still, I am hoping the reaction will be positive this time, lord knows that it should be!

Regards,

Epinephrine



To: 5dave22 who wrote (104540)4/12/2000 6:02:00 PM
From: SteveC  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 1577530
 
"ps - this enthusiasm reminds me of three months ago (1/18?). The next day we were all left scratching our heads!"

If beating the consensus (which kept on being revised upward) by almost 100% doesn't send this stock on a rocket ride tomorrow past its previous intra day, I give up. This is the second quarter in a row AMD has crushed the consensus, and I imagine we will have a rush to upgrade the stock tomorrow. If AMD can fire away with Athlon chips, this company is its own mint. Almost every dollar in revenue above 4Q 2000 this quarter went to profit. What other business can generate greater revenue without greater costs?

"AMD could earn a billion dollars this year!"

You're too low. This quarter validates the optimistic view of AMD's 2000 earnings potential. Here is my projection:

1Q 2000 = $189 M
2Q 2000 = $270 M
3Q 2000 = $360 M (the first full Q of Tbird)
4Q 2000 = $470 M

Total 2000 profit = $1,280,000. I think its time for AMD to start building Fab 35 and to split the stock.