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Strategies & Market Trends : MDA - Market Direction Analysis -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: bobby beara who wrote (45998)4/13/2000 2:27:00 PM
From: set  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 99985
 
> october is the scary month

considering that the S&P is holding its 3/21 support
I think the emotion is pretty thick. Perhaps since
nobody owns any S&P stocks any more they have nothing
to cheer about.



To: bobby beara who wrote (45998)4/13/2000 3:27:00 PM
From: Crimson Ghost  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 99985
 
Bobby:

Today's NAZ bounce indeeed looks like the dead cat variety. We may need another real bad day to set us up for a tradable rally.

But James Cramer getting cautiously bullish:

Fear Bottoms Out for the Bears
By James J. Cramer

4/13/00 1:01 PM ET

We are getting a lot of deal
cancellations. That's a sign.
We like that. It makes sense.
That makes things better. We
figure that we've got a fear
bottom of sorts and we like the
action in Motorola (MOT:NYSE - news - boards), which has been
one of the real drags here. We love the fact that the bears floated
bogus rumors this morning that Microsoft (MSFT:Nasdaq - news -
boards) would preannounce bad earnings.

What a crock! But I sense a battle of encirclement there, with the
bulls getting the upper hand. And biotech, which is a swell tell of
the day, has lifted.

We just sold a round of 5s and 10s (5000,
10,000) into the strength, but we did it
without much enthusiasm because we like
what we see.

Oh, and when I was off the desk I see we
sold the Exodus (EXDS:Nasdaq - news -
boards). Heavens! Oh well. Funny that Gary
B. Smith comes out this morning and likes it!

Random musings: Hedge-fund lookout: Still
don't know anyone in trouble. In fact, this little lift has given the
Street the liquidity it needs. Remember, margin clerks are
sidelined. Not much happening there.