To: Ausdauer who wrote (10339 ) 4/14/2000 10:10:00 AM From: Art Bechhoefer Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 60323
Aus, thanks for reminding us of the earlier patent related controversy. It is extremely important that investors realize SanDisk has all the bases covered (i.e., all the basic patents). The recent court ruling against Lexar, plus the recent patent approval for flash memories, including their assembly and plastic casing, means that SNDK has insured a cash flow sufficient to provide for virtually all its future capital investment. Put another way, SNDK is one of the few Internet related companies that can depend on internally generated funds to expand. Compare with companies such as AMZN, which keeps issuing more stock and borrowing more money. We are already seeing a divergence between high tech companies with solid financials and those with little or no earnings, little or no book value, and very often a lack of experienced management. Virtually all the stocks in this group have dropped, but the poorly financed ones, with little hope for profits that would justify even their lower stock prices, will not recover nearly as fast as the solid ones. Investors now have two events to look forward to: Next week's earnings report (I say earnings, because among the stocks in this group, SNDK stands out because it HAS earnings), and a very high probability of success in the current patent litigation. I'm still not clear on the impact of Sony and its claim that it will raise sales of Memorystick units from 2 million to 20 million in a year. I'm inclined to believe they are exaggerating, but also, given the broad coverage of SNDK patents, that SNDK will receive royalties from this part of the market as well. Not long ago, I compared SNDK and QCOM, giving a slight edge to QCOM, based on the prices of the two stocks at that time. With the price of SNDK having dropped more than the price for QCOM during the last few weeks, I would now give a considerable edge to SNDK, though both stocks appear to have more potential than most technology or telecommunications issues, even in this market.