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Technology Stocks : Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Rob S. who wrote (100528)4/14/2000 1:36:00 AM
From: Bill Harmond  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 164684
 
There's nothing new about Internet stock valuation. Aol had it since 1992, and Yahoo had it in 1997.

What's new is the supply of stock. That has to be sorted through, and the long-term winners which are being indescriminately disgarded because of the sector sell-off need to be (and will be) distinguished from the losers.

The Internet is growing faster than any other part of the economy, and thus will attract capital at a commesurate rate over time. The relative prospects of these leading companies to produce cash flow and earnings has only been enhanced by this liquidity crunch, because the weak are being culled out.

Fear has raised the risk premiun in this sector to hysterical levels. Nobody trusts anything and there is no liquidity. The market will run its course and the cream will rise again to the top.



To: Rob S. who wrote (100528)4/14/2000 1:39:00 AM
From: Randy Ellingson  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 164684
 
Perhaps there is still too much optimism left and not enough shaking out of the tree. Longer term I think things will be fine as the "new economy" rolls out to the old world and becomes ubiquitous.

Good post. Seems like the reminder that if one is going to own stocks, they should always be careful to own what they think are the best companies. There were even many Japanese companies that did well through the worst of their awful market of the 90's.

Randy