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To: sandeep who wrote (42046)4/14/2000 11:37:00 AM
From: taxman  Respond to of 74651
 
bottom? they got the hoped for morning drop.

regards

> THE BULL MARKET TECHNICAL INVESTOR
> April 14, 2000
>
> Volume 1, #3
> "Off The Charts"
> By Barry Habib and Art Adams.
>
> It feels like we are very close to a bottom.
> The Put/Call ratios are
> showing pessimism. That is a good sign for
> Bulls and could be the start
> of a reversal. The 200-day Moving Average (MA)
> on the Nasdaq is currently
> at 3,614. The index is still within the bottom
> Bollinger band (definition
> below). We'd love to see a drop in the
> morning, hit the 200-Day MA or get
> close to it, stay within the bottom Bollinger
> band, then explode to the
> upside. Although the low would not be as low
> as we hit on an intra-day
> basis on the 4th, we would be closer to the
> 200-day MA than we were then.
> Therefore, on a technical basis, we would have
> confirmed the low of last
> week.
>
> We also love the doom and gloom in the media.
> Just like we were all
> caught up in the euphoria of Nasdaq 5,000 when
> we failed to see nothing
> put positives. Now we are feeling so much pain
> we see nothing but
> negatives. It's easy for us to fail to see the
> opportunities and bargains
> that exist before our eyes. This is probably a
> great sign that a
> turnaround is very close.
>
> A lot will depend on tomorrow's CPI (Consumer
> Price Index) report. The
> forecast is for the CPI to be up 0.5% and the
> CPI Core Rate (this excludes
> the more volatile food and energy prices) to be
> up 0.2%. Time for release
> is 8:30 AM ET.
>
> We are including both "Long" and "Short" plays
> in this edition, giving you
> trading suggestions in both types of markets.
> If the Nasdaq breaks below
> its 200-day MA, it will get bloody. We think a
> bounce off that level is
> more likely, with a rally back towards the
> 50-day MA at 4,400 to follow.
> Remember, just 12 years ago the Nasdaq had its
> greatest percentage loss of
> all time, 11% in one day. That was just a 40
> point drop from 400 to 360.
> If you had invested in the Nasdaq index on the
> day BEFORE the largest drop
> ever, you still would have seen your investment
> soar to 13 times the
> initial amount in the 12 years to follow.
> Patience has been handsomely
> rewarded in the past and history has a way of
> repeating itself.
>
> Copyright The Bull Market Technical Investor,