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Strategies & Market Trends : Cents and Sensibility - Kimberly and Friends' Consortium -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Harry_Behemoth who wrote (97087)4/14/2000 5:55:00 PM
From: stan s.  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 108040
 
That's true but moves like that and more are not unheard of after a correction. I posted this earlier in the week.

Last time the nasdaq slumped in the 20% plus range was in the summer of '98. That dip
brought it all the way back to early '97 levels. A a very painful retrace and a lot of
people thought the tech surge was dead.

That set the stage for an immediate reversal and powerful comeback that doubled the
nasdaq in 4-5 short months.


The only way to take advantage of a move like that is to have money when the bottom
hits.

Seems to be a growing consensus that we retest the 3700 area (give or take) as part of
the cleaning out process.

Good thing about that is the consensus opinion is usually wrong.

Bad thing about that is if we test 3700 again, why not complete the rounded top and
take us down to point of origin of the frenzy? The gap from point that broke the nasdaq
to the upside of a triple top, around 2830 in late October. Still a gap there.

Not a prediction yet, but awareness of certain possibilities that once seemed remote
might be the key to survival.