To: Hawkmoon who wrote (51494 ) 4/15/2000 7:12:00 PM From: goldsnow Respond to of 116759
No Relief in Sight The CPI climbed 0.7% in March, its biggest increase since April 1999 and above the consensus estimate of 0.5%. The core rate, which excludes food and energy, rose 0.4%, double expectations. The data renewed fears of Fed rate hikes, overshadowing hopes the carnage in stocks will dissipate the 'wealth effect' Alan Greenspan has repeatedly spoken about. In a speech about risk management today, Greenspan did not directly address the developments on Wall Street. But in a discussion of financial crises, he said "financial institutions should expect to look to the central bank only in extremely rare situations." Market players took that comment as an indication that no relief is forthcoming from the Fed, as was the case in October 1998. "He slyly sent a message he's not going to bail the market out at these levels, he'll let it go further," said Edward Nicoski, chief market strategist at U.S. Bancorp Piper Jaffray. Stocks falling further is exactly what Nicoski expects, even if the market is now "oversold" on a short-term basis. "It doesn't look like this is going to be over with," he said. "You've busted the bubble really bad. There's no evidence you've made a good low." Some classic signs of fear usually associated with bottoms were evident -- including a sharp rise in put buying, gains in gold and a spike in the Chicago Board Options Exchange Volatility Index, which rose 15.3% to 39.33 after trading intraday at its highest levels since October 1998. But market players were loathe to suggest the carnage will end here. A few even saw similarities between the recent action and the days preceding the crash in October 1987. "It's track in many senses," Nicoski said. In 1987 there were "very volatile days and weeks coming up to the crash, then a horrible Friday, the crash on Monday and the market illiquid on Tuesday. And the Fed was raising interest rates.abcnews.go.com