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Strategies & Market Trends : MDA - Market Direction Analysis -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Jill who wrote (46484)4/15/2000 12:29:00 PM
From: Jerry Olson  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 99985
 
Actually Jill

i looked at the QQQ on P&F and 73/74 is the bottom here...it would equate to the Oct lows of last year...

so my guess would be a slam on MON am, 200-300 then a major league rally into Late Apr thru earnings season...

yes of course i buy puts, but i'd rather short something first...

good luck on your trade..either way..and maybe both ways<G>



To: Jill who wrote (46484)4/15/2000 2:20:00 PM
From: Michael Watkins  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 99985
 
Jill,

The data, I believe, for the QQQ on SI's charts in in error. If that chart is right, I support your conclusion, but my data (a couple of different sources) shows the low of 04/04 as 88.3125.

The hammer (on 4/4 on the QQQ/NDX/COMPX) was taken out and so convincingly that the normal course of action for professionals will be to sell rallies. Anything could happen, but that's what I see coming down the pike. The big question is do we get a short term rally now or not?

intelligentspeculator.com

A hammer such as 4/4, made on high volume, *should* hold. That it didn't is very telling for the tech part of the market in my opinion, and frankly the old economy side isn't looking any better, just different.

I think the odds are currently higher in favor of more downside.