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Strategies & Market Trends : MDA - Market Direction Analysis -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Phillip Crone who wrote (46630)4/16/2000 12:23:00 PM
From: Larry S.  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 99985
 
HI all. I have been monitoring this thread for the past few days and would like to add my 2 cents. I went thru the crash of 1987. it was horrible. today, that crash is just a blip in the long uptrend of the stock averages. In 1987, "Portfolio Insurance" was the buzzword, as stocks fell, computers automatically sold portions of a portfolio to minimize damage. guess what. they all kicked in at once, and they tried to sell at market into a vacuum because they're were no buyers.
In the early and mid 90's Index funds were, and still are, the rage. Mindless transactions, put your money in and you automatically own an equal amount of all the stocks in the index. WEll, that actually has worked quite well. One fear I've always had was what if we saw large liquidations of index funds. then we have blind selling of the same stocks that were supposed to be our saviors.
My current fear has been that in severe market conditions, online traders would not be able to log onto their accounts and would be prevented from trading, be it buying or selling because of the overload. While this remains a concern, I am very heartened by the reliability that i have seen so far. I use Brown % Co, and except for short term periods in very fast markets on certain stocks, I would say that they have handled the volume remarkably well. As we have not heard of dislocations at the other firms recently, it appears that the online systems have been beefed up to handle volumes even larger than what we have seen. Larry



To: Phillip Crone who wrote (46630)4/16/2000 1:03:00 PM
From: Haim R. Branisteanu  Respond to of 99985
 
Phillip I tend to agree with you, but if we rally from those levels first or second week of May may add another scare.

BWDIK
Haim



To: Phillip Crone who wrote (46630)4/16/2000 2:08:00 PM
From: Oak Tree  Respond to of 99985
 
There are going to be a few panic sellers tomorrow who have big margin possitions. Poor guys. I think the Mutuals will be buying tomorrow, and thats the big money.



To: Phillip Crone who wrote (46630)4/16/2000 8:46:00 PM
From: Casaubon  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 99985
 
actually taxes are due monday. There just might be a large group of traders left who were hoping for a bounce during the sell-off to "raise" their tax money. I actually know someone who lost their tax money! I kid you not. If the plunge protection team is hard at work Monday, they might meet selling from the last minute crowd.

If there is a wash out Monday, I will be trying to pick up some bargains. I want to put my 401K back to work but it would have to be a convincing flush.