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To: Montana Wildhack who wrote (4143)4/16/2000 10:47:00 PM
From: Tom Drolet  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 14101
 
Wolf: To support your upbeat mood and thought on the swan act by the Nikkei--here is a Bloomberg article just out. Even they read this thread stuff! " The Revenge of the Big Cap Groupies"--good idea for a movie!

By the way--the Nikkei Index has not moved for some time--guess they halted the darn thing before it went down through the floor.

Tom D.

Sun, 16 Apr 2000, 10:42pm EDT
Value Investors Take Message to Chat Rooms: `It's About Time'
By Perri Colley McKinney

New York, April 16 (Bloomberg) -- Value investors crowded
onto Internet chat rooms this weekend with a message to their
technology-obsessed rivals: It's about time.

Technology investors who rode the Nasdaq's 86 percent gain
last year and four previous years of 20 percent-plus gains got
what they had coming to them on Friday, the postings claimed. The
Nasdaq Composite Index sank 355.49 to 3321.29, its biggest point
drop ever, losing 9.7 percent in the culmination of a week of
losses that took the index down a total of 25 percent.
``The folks that participated in the speculation did so with
their own free will and were fueled by greed and a lack of
knowledge in many cases,' said one posting. Another admitted
responsibility, saying ``we have ourselves to thank for running
tech and Internet issues to astronomical levels that could not be
supported in the face of no earnings or meager earnings.'

Many of those participating in message board discussions on
SiliconInvestor.com and RagingBull.com predicted the pain wasn't
over for technology stocks, as the Federal Reserve appears likely
to raise interest rates to curb inflation and slow economic
growth.

Few stocks were immune to the sell-off after the U.S.
government reported the biggest pickup in consumer-price inflation
in five years. The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 5.6 percent
and the Standard & Poor's 500 Index dropped 5.8 percent Friday.

An Ugly Monday

``Monday morning may very well be incredibly ugly,' wrote a
poster with the username 'Return to Sender.' ``It is highly likely
that we will see another few hundred points lost on both the Dow
and Nasdaq as early as Monday morning.'

Username 'Rjp791' said sooner or later young Internet
geniuses had to learn the ``value of a hard-earned dollar.'
``Today, 20-somethings bring an untested concept public and
become instant millionaires,' Rjp791 said. ``In the past, your
company had to prove its metal to be rewarded.'

One investor, posting as 'MatrixInvestor,' countered that
``it is this young generation which is building the Internet,
creating the new economy, stimulating growth and improving
efficiency. It is those start-ups by the 20-somethings that
revived the American Dream.'

Most postings weren't predicting recession, just a return to
more reasonable valuations and a resurgence in traditional value
stocks and less speculative tech stocks. A few of the favored
computer-related companies were International Business Machines
Corp., Sun Microsystems Inc., Hewlett-Packard Co., Gateway Inc.
GTW and Dell Computer Corp.

Back to Basics

``It's time for fundamental analysis to take center stage
again; reckless day-traders go home,' said one Silicon Investor
user, who said his investing philosophy has always been to buy
shares in undervalued companies. ``My hope is that people will
take a more logical approach to valuing stocks and hold longer-
term.'

Wal-Mart Stores Inc. and Toys ``R' Us Inc. got top billing
from a poster named 'Dafoxman.'
``What has become clear is that many of the `winners' in
retailing will be from the old economy. The few pure internet
retailers that do survive may find that a bricks-and-sticks
approach of opening up physical locations will be necessary to
compete against the established giants of retailing.'

And one final piece of advice from an old-fashioned investor:
``People need to go back to being productive and not checking
their stocks every ten minutes on company time.'