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To: Bill Harmond who wrote (101286)4/16/2000 11:58:00 PM
From: Glenn D. Rudolph  Respond to of 164685
 
Your point is well taken, and I used that yardstick for years. However, a company emerging
into the black with that kind of bottom-line growth would be a different story. Several of the
Internet leaders are growing much faster than 100%. Vignette is growing at 60% sequentially,
but still reporting losses. Obviously there's more value there than the PEG method allows.


William,

To expound further on this, who is to say that next year VIGN will not be growing 80% sequentially or possibly may still be 60% sequentially but with a much higher revenue base?

Additionally, there are other factors involved. The market position, scalability, and likely future
cash flows from the business are not represented in a hard number of any kind.


This also factors into the above since my and your growth basis on VIGN was revenue but at some point, we can then throw in earnings too.



To: Bill Harmond who wrote (101286)4/17/2000 8:25:00 AM
From: Bearded One  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 164685
 
You have a point. That the big-dogs like Cisco and Microsoft had a PE/G of greater than 1, though, was a recipie for disaster. And the drops in those stocks have
hurt people more than the rest of the internet stocks put
together.
And will continue to do so in my view.