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Strategies & Market Trends : MDA - Market Direction Analysis -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: lawdog who wrote (46967)4/17/2000 11:41:00 AM
From: TheKelster  Respond to of 99985
 
Does look like we are running out of steam, the ARMS is rising again.



To: lawdog who wrote (46967)4/17/2000 12:06:00 PM
From: epicure  Respond to of 99985
 
I agree- it sure looks like a bull trap. Time will tell.



To: lawdog who wrote (46967)4/17/2000 1:14:00 PM
From: Boplicity  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 99985
 
Part of a Street.com "chat" with Robert Wilson.
The TSC Streetside Chat: Robert Wilson
By Brett D. Fromson
Chief Markets Writer
4/16/00 9:00 AM ET

Robert Wilson was one of the great stock investors of the
past 50 years. He started with $15,000 and had a miserable
rate of return in the early years. But from 1960 on, he turned
$70,000 into $225 million over 26 years before retiring in
1986 at age 59. In his day, Wilson was a peer of Warren
Buffett and George Soros.* Wilson's investment strategy
was to go both long and short -- long because he believed
in the long-term future of America and short because he
never wanted to be wiped out in a downturn.

Today, Wilson is blissfully out of the money game. His
fortune, approaching a billion dollars, is managed for him
by a small posse of investment advisors -- some short,
some long; some U.S., some overseas; some value, some
growth; some large-cap, some small-cap. From an urban
aerie overlooking Central Park, Wilson keeps a watchful
eye on the markets. He spoke earlier this week with TSC's
new Chief Markets Writer Brett D. Fromson. Wilson spoke
candidly about his adventures on Wall Street, the pleasures
and pain of investing and today's turbulent market.

**********************

So you were always net long.

I was always net long. When I was bearish, I was maybe
25% net long, and when I was bullish, I might be 125% net
long.

Why did you never go net short?

Because I never wanted to get up in the morning hoping
that things would be getting worse. All intellectuals, I think -- and I don't use that as a particularly flattering term -- but all intellectuals tend to have a pessimistic streak.

There's something intellectually much more intriguing
about failure, which is knowable, rather than success,
which is sort of unknowable.

The way people fail is understandable and predictable and
almost inevitable, whereas the way people succeed may
never have happened, and so an intellectual is drawn
towards failure, I think.

G