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Politics : Ask Michael Burke -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: BGR who wrote (79839)4/18/2000 3:22:00 PM
From: Freedom Fighter  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 132070
 
BGR,

Warren used an example like that to prove that value investing works. He pointed out the probabilities that a handful of men who all had the same teacher and all beat the market using the same method was a result of luck were so ridiculously high as to be impossible.

I believe it's the efficient market crowd that believes Warren was lucky. (g)

I am not dismissing luck as a factor in these sorts of things, but the people I know that are beating the horses are betting in a value based manner also. The number of bets involved over the years makes the chances that they are all being lucky impossible. Especially when they are using similar but not exact methods to determine the appropriate odds.

I maintain that lots of people are making money on options.

Wayne



To: BGR who wrote (79839)4/18/2000 4:26:00 PM
From: Mama Bear  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 132070
 
BGR, it is simply idiotic to compare stock trading with a coin toss. The fact is that people buy and sell stocks for a reason. It is not a game of chance, despite the assertions of some ivory tower academics who can't grasp the reasons stocks go up and down.

Regards,

Barb



To: BGR who wrote (79839)4/18/2000 4:34:00 PM
From: benwood  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 132070
 
What would amaze me is that after 8 rounds, no two people chose the same outcome for any toss! That would be incredible, and I would burst with pride just watching such a spectacle on TV if they were American citizens who pulled off such a feat!