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To: Sully- who wrote (14930)	4/19/2000 1:09:00 AM
From: Jim Willie CB	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 35685

a May 16 Fed hike might happen more from a credibility factor the markets have priced it in (financial stocks, Bonds, FedFundsFutures) Fed must protect its image of vigilance against inflation April CPI might be negative, as I predicted with some bravado but Apr CPI might also show residual increases from recent higher energy costs being gradually passed on I believe the constant unswerving spectre of Fed hikes will make it next to impossible for NAZ to rally with abandon from here to mid-May Federal Reserve might hike once more, and give indications that they are done dont forget we are in an election year so Fed wont want to hold back in May, only to raise in July during campaign conventions I think they stupidly raise once more, with stiff backbone, even if the move is excessive and bonehead... the Fed has a long history of excessively raising interest rates for decades... I dont give them one iota of credit for any Soft Landing in 1997... they gave us the Asian Meltdown / Jim