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Politics : Formerly About Advanced Micro Devices -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Tenchusatsu who wrote (107043)4/20/2000 3:31:00 PM
From: Joe NYC  Respond to of 1573867
 
Tenchusatsu,

I don't follow your math

I did this very quickly, so feel free to correct any inaccuracies.

The Other Income and gains amounted to $640 million. This is based on the fact that Intel is a combination of 2 companies - microprocessor and Venture Capital. Suppose you split Intel along those lines and give shares to shareholders in both.

You end up with Venture Capital firm with $20 billion portfolio, which earned $640 million, or $.20 per Intel share. The $20 billion in cash and securities (plus any unrealized gains) has a value of (you guessed it) $20 billion (plus unrealized gains), or $6.50 per share.

So now I want to evaluate the other portion - Intel core business, which earned $.71 - $.20 = $.51 per share per quarter. Or $2.04 per year. Multiply this by PE of 25 and you get a price of $51 per share.

. You're saying most of Intel's profits are coming from its portfolio? So the huge 63% margins that Intel is getting on 30M CPUs only leads to 50 cents per share per quarter? I don't think so.

Again, I was just trying to get to Tad's $60. I am not saying that Intel will head to $60. If I thought that, I would be shorting it or buying puts.

Which part of my equation do you think is wrong?

Joe