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To: yard_man who wrote (28153)4/22/2000 11:15:00 AM
From: Glenn D. Rudolph  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 42523
 
air conditioning is responsible for high rates of growth in the past 10 - 15 years, but
saturation is already quite high -


Do you know how high? I do not have a clue.

it is the temperature sensitive loads (ac) coupled with larger
sq footage that has given the accelerated rate in very recent history, but it is this very recent
rate that folks are extrapolating to buy generators going forward -


Would not the recent rates be indicative? It seems during very hot summers we have inadequate ability to produce electricity.

There is overinestment and a concentration of assets which has come about from the Fed's
looseness and the monetization of debt, but there are other regulatory factors which have
served to further distort investment in the utility industry ...


Has not most governments local state and federal been advocating an increase in the ability to produce electricity?

heaven help us if natural gas
prices go through the roof in a few years about the time prices are deregulated for electrical
power.


There is a huge suuply of natural gas so I can't see why theprice would go through the roof.

Again, there are some things peculiar to the industry, but I think it is an economy-wide
phenomena. If our policy makers weren't so screwed up -- we'd be building a few coal plants
here and there and scads of folks wouldn't be buying up gas turbines without a clue where
they are going to put half of them ... I hear it over and over again: "The market can't be
wrong ..."


Why build very dirty producing facilities?

Glenn