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Strategies & Market Trends : MDA - Market Direction Analysis -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Jill who wrote (47600)	4/21/2000 11:59:00 AM
From: Hank Stamper	Respond to of 99985

"I think you're wrong...there's a lot of fear out there." Why I think this is wrong: There is almost no talk of a bear market and zero talk of recession/potential depression. That sort of talk will be replete in any market bottom. Furthermore, Stewart is still buying the dips. Just read another 'I'm loading up on this dip' message in the JDSU thread. What's on CNBC?: 'don't buy no-earnings stuff; stick to the stuff that has good growth in real earnings.' This is not fear. It's called complacency. Ciao, David Todtman

To: Jill who wrote (47600)	4/21/2000 12:05:00 PM
From: Grandk	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 99985

Jill, Perhaps there is a lot of fear out there. The one's that have fear are the one's that understand that a further drop in the markets is a very real possibility. I believe you to be an extremely intelligent person, which is why you have fear. The question now is what to do about it. Continue to buy the dips and risk getting destroyed along side the fools who have no fear, or listen to your instincts and prepare yourself for the inconceivable. Remember, 'in battle, what can go wrong, will go wrong'

To: Jill who wrote (47600)	4/21/2000 1:20:00 PM
From: sea_biscuit	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 99985

"A lot of fear out there"? Well, one of my co-workers spoke about his friend who trades stocks on margin. The guy didn't get a margin call in the recent plunge, but during the decline, he has increased his margin exposure. My co-worker remarked, "Smart, huh?". And most of the others were nodding their heads... My feeling is that some people might have got thrashed and are now silently licking their wounds, but a lot of the others have gotten in on the act now. There is so much complacency that it is impossible to believe that there was a 35% decline in the Nasdaq just a week ago. Maybe we will see a series of failing rallies and in each of those, we will see a fresh batch of people getting their heads handed to them. And after 3 or 4 such occurrences, we will probably see a bottom. And that will be some kind of justice, I guess, with almost every careless "investor" getting what they really deserve.