To: Alok Sinha who wrote (31197 ) 4/21/2000 8:19:00 PM From: QwikSand Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 64865
I am going to be buying Microsoft next week as they are probably the only technology bargain out there (and I refuse to accept that Gates and Co. don't have a hidden ace up their sleeve. The refusal to come to terms with the Justice Dept followed immediately by this rev miss and lower guidance for future has a fishy air to it . Alok: Long term, I disagree that Microsoft will be a bargain on Monday. The theory that yesterday's miss was part of some grand design by Microsoft management to manipulate sentiment or get even with or frighten the DOJ or whatever, sounds even fishier to me. I'm not a lawyer. But it seems to me that if they deceptively manipulated results to further some scheme, these executives have consciously decided to pass from the domain of torts into the domain of crime. It wouldn't be the first time such a thing has happened. But if I as a Microsoft shareholder, which I am, really thought that these guys had knowingly lopped a hundred billion in valuation off the company for "my own eventual good", I would be jumping into a class action suit as fast as I could. And hoping that such a suit might uncover evidence that would send Bill & Steve to the slammer. But I strongly doubt that's the case. In other words, I think the Grand Design scheme is nonsense. I think, rather, that Microsoft's business is going down the tubes for a lot of reasons. A lot of people seem to believe the contrary. On the SI Microsoft thread the conspiracy theory is almost a given. I would also highly recommend James J. Cramer's "Why We Sold Microsoft" article on TheStreet.com, which can be freely accessed without a subscription (that article only). If you get past the treacly writing you can see that, after announcing that the MSFT con call drove him to close his long position and short MSFT in his hedge fund, Cramer too was inundated with email from people who assume the miss was deliberate. He dismisses this view out of hand. Regards, --QS