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Strategies & Market Trends : MDA - Market Direction Analysis -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: John Madarasz who wrote (47691)	4/22/2000 11:04:00 AM
From: Les H	Respond to of 99985

overlay of presidential, decennial, and annual patterns marketscience.com Years ending in 0 usually are weak since the economy is usually topping out near the decade turn. Overlaying the presidential pattern makes it more bullish toward the end since these include the predominantly bullish years ending in 2 and 6.

To: John Madarasz who wrote (47691)	4/22/2000 5:37:00 PM
From: Jim Willie CB	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 99985

on presidential cycle, my source is a Stan Weinstein book "How to Profit from Bull & Bear Markets" (or close to this name) generally best year is presidential election year worst year is two years prior and two years after it works over the four-year cycle like a sine wave 1998 was a horrible year, with Asian climax we saw Russian default, and LTCM fiasco/bailout I would conclude that favorable monetary policy would contribute to the stronger stock market performance if this phenomenon is at work now, then the Fed will lean toward no rate hike sooner because of elections I find it hard to expect a hike in June when primaries have largely completed and Republican/ Democrat issues are squaring off the biggest risk I see now is the Fed will continue to hike rates until their effects are seen then the remaining 3/4 of cars on the economic momentum train fall down afterwards Housing is already down maintaining credibility will lead the Fed to hike hey, LG, I will go back to the Porch when I damned good & ready not all my messages to you were obnoxious last autumn if you recall I recall acknowledging your correct call once or twice consider my presence an indication of finding value here be flattered insult me a few more times just like I did you, then look in the mirror and tell yourself that you are a better man I(whose behavior is no different than mine) / Jim Willie