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To: yard_man who wrote (28914)4/25/2000 6:48:00 PM
From: Glenn D. Rudolph  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 42523
 
Tippet,

I do not know where to start except to say I have learned more about electricity generation and distribution from you than I have learned in my entire life. I greatly appreciate you sharing your vast knowledge here. I am going to have to re-read some of your post which I bookmarked to pick up some areas again that are not perfectly clear to me and may ask a question or two.

I noticed towards the end of your post you started addressing commercial use reliability compared to residential use. I was going to ask how that market has grown compared to residential use.

You made it clear that the additional houses built and added square feet has caused a rapid increase in electrical demand during the last couple years. You called it "off the charts" and apparently you do not expect this growth to continue into the future at this rate. I suppose that will have a lot to do with the stock market, the economy and other economic factors that I know I cannot predict. I am not doubting your statement that this will not continue. How has commercial demand grown? Does the stock market performance affect this or is it strictly economic growth which would seem to be the real cause and effect? Is the forcast of commercial demand relatively correct in your opinion and do you know what percentage of the demand is commercial compared to residentual?

This is a little on a personal note in that I live in PA. I have two brick and mortar stores that use a relatively decent amount of electricity due to the large amount of lighting and of course air conditioning. The air conditioning demand is increased due to the need to remove the heat from the high level of lighting. This state has been deregulated. GPU use to be the only power supplier and distributor here but now one has a choice except for distribution. Some of the competing producers will quote prices in certain amounts per kilowatt hour and use that as a flat rate. Some use a decreasing scale depending upon total quantity yearly, monthy or quarterly and some have a lower flat rate but a surcharge for peak demands. How in the world am I really going to know what is the bet buy for me or are most producers close enough in their competition to make it not significant? I have laft our producer to be the production division of GPU due to the confusion in my mind. This is not a big issue in this discussion except I really am wondering are all suppliers relatively close in their pricing?

Thank you.

Glenn