To: Apollo who wrote (23459 ) 4/28/2000 5:42:00 PM From: BI*RI Respond to of 54805
Personal Portfolio I waited until the close today to provide the most updated version of my portfolio as possible. Well, I suppose there are some that could post theirs using after hours trades..... Stock 4/28/00 Initial Investment Oldest Shares JDSU 36% 11% 4/19/99 EMC 18 11 1/05/99 NTAP 11 11 12/15/99 $$$$ 10 17 8/04/50 SEBL 8 11 4/05/00 QCOM 6 11 4/14/00 CREE 6 7.5 4/14/00 ELON 4 19 2/28/00 Being somewhat anal, I try to invest equally in my top 6 to 7 picks, and always buy with the plan to hold five years or more. Obviously, I'm not doing too well. <ggg> TYC, GBLX, and TLAB have been jettisoned since the last survey, due to this thread. I have been invested in QCOM and CREE earlier than indicated above (December), but was able to trade higher priced shares for more cheaper ones during recent corrections, well, actually, a week ago. CREE is underweighted because I sold all in my ROTH this week, once I had established a partial long position in my taxable account. Those will be held, and I hope to add the remaining 1/3 of the position on the next correction. ELON is overweighted because I have shares in both my ROTH (which I don't want to sell at current prices, as a loss is not a tax benefit) and my taxable "Long" account. The sale of CREE in the ROTH, and cash "at the ready" for completing my long CREE position is why my $$$$ percentage is higher than normal. Typically, cash is at 0%. CREE would have been my pick for a double if I'd submitted my portfolio on Monday. It's revenue and profit increases, backlog of over a year, and production growth initiatives made the P/E ratio very attractive. But now that it's run over 50% since Monday, I would be predicting a 200% increase at a higher risk level. I don't expect any of these stocks to double in the next twelve months. The current prices are already factoring in excellent growth. There will be surprises and even upgrades in expectancies, but enough to warrant doubling their prices? Maybe, but if so, I think that they are all equally poised for that kind of business and price growth. Put a gun to my head, and I'd have to say ELON. It is where JDSU, NTAP, and CREE were years ago. So it has the likelihood for that kind of an increase. But fulfilling the business plan is not a sure thing, so take the gun away, and I'll go with JDSU: 100%+ growth in EPS and revenue, acquisitions increasing capacity, and market factors such as ETEK approval and S&P500 membership.