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Pastimes : All Clowns Must Be Destroyed -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: AllansAlias who wrote (29496)4/26/2000 7:19:00 PM
From: patron_anejo_por_favor  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 42523
 
Sounds like a good strategy. I'm personally placing precious metals bets along the same lines.

My leading candidate for economic "rod-thrower" is a currency crisis. In Mr.Moto's column (see link a few posts earlier), he referred to a speech by Paul Volker in Thailand a few months ago:

"In the world of money - in the true architecture of the international financial system -something more surprising is taking place. Directly contrary to the widely accepted textbook models, more and more smaller countries - particularly in Latin America and Eastern Europe - have questioned the value of an independent currency. A number have already taken the major step of abandoning their own currency altogether, or approximating that approach by linking the local currency to a major international currency by means of a currency board.

In effect, those countries are saying that they are willing to forego the financial autonomy and flexibility afforded - at least conceptually - by a national currency. What they expect to get in return is the stability and integrity - and the relatively lower interest rates - inherent in use of
an internationally strong currency, the dollar or the Euro.

I trust they are not misled in their thinking; use of an international currency cannot prevent speculative excesses and a banking or financial crisis in response to misguided policies. Budgetary discipline and effective control of costs will be essential. Circumstances can easily be envisaged - the text books are replete with them - in which the loss of monetary flexibility will be regretted."

Wise worders from the man who saved America's bacon in 1980-1982.



To: AllansAlias who wrote (29496)4/26/2000 7:21:00 PM
From: AllansAlias  Respond to of 42523
 
I apologize for so many short posts, but I have been out most of the day and am trying to follow too much at once.

I wanted to say one more thing regarding the AMZN May 30 puts. The chart tells me that this is an excellent price should we correct in a bigger way than we did on Terrifying Tuesday, or the week that followed. All AMZN has to do is fall off the shelf it is on now. Where does the chart tell you that it will land if that were to happen?

Cheers --Allan