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Strategies & Market Trends : John Pitera's Market Laboratory -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: gerard mangiardi who wrote (1351)4/27/2000 9:12:00 AM
From: Les H  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 33421
 
BLS won't start incorporating stock options in ECI till July or October report. There was a lot of insider selling in December and January so ECI is still understating costs.



To: gerard mangiardi who wrote (1351)4/27/2000 9:15:00 AM
From: Defrocked  Respond to of 33421
 
I strongly disagree. The ECI had the largest q/q increase
since September 1989 and the strongest y-o-y change in
eight years.

The highest guess in the consensus was 1.2%e < 1.4%actual.

Health care costs are very trendy. Wage increases will not
fall off a cliff either.

If costs stay at this rate then 4% inflation will
be the de facto floor for '00. Not acceptable for the
"New Economy" or the Fed or the currency markets IMHO.


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