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To: BigBull who wrote (65528)5/1/2000 8:27:00 AM
From: Big Dog  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 95453
 
Dain Rauscher on FLC:

FLC: DELAYS IN BRAZIL WILL IMPACT QUARTER AND YEAR

We lowering our estimates for the first quarter to ($0.22) from ($0.14) and
dropping the second-quarter estimate slightly to ($0.16) from ($0.12).
Deepwater rigs that were scheduled to begin operations in Brazil in the first
quarter are being delayed for a number of reasons, having a negative impact
on the numbers for the first half of the year. We are still optimistic about
the second half of the year and 2001.

The debt level provides for a debt-to-capital ratio of slightly more than
70%, and while the company has signficant operating leverage and cash flow
generation, we want to wait and see some of these new deepwater rigs begin
operating well before we make any categorical decisions about the stock.

Further, we believe the company will issue equity this year at some point
to pay down debt, especially the PIKs (payment in kind) before the first
quarter of next year. We would use any filing as a potential buying
opportunity, believing the company will wait until operations are humming
before making that move.

Stock Opinion

R&B Falcon continues to have one of the highest debt levels in the industry,
at approximately 71% debt-to-book capital. This significantly reduces its
flexibility to take advantage of the potential consolidation activities
projected to take place within the industry. Therefore, we continue to rate
FLC Neutral due to the company's highly leveraged balance sheet in the
current, difficult operating market.



To: BigBull who wrote (65528)5/1/2000 8:37:00 AM
From: BigBull  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 95453
 



To: BigBull who wrote (65528)5/1/2000 2:48:00 PM
From: BigBull  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 95453
 
More on the gasoline story:

cbs.marketwatch.com



To: BigBull who wrote (65528)5/1/2000 10:09:00 PM
From: hdrjr  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 95453
 
Big Bullish One,

PnF does not indicate time frames as I understand it. The potential move to 136 comes from a basing period from 106ish to 112. The last such basing period that resembles this one was from 80 to 94, the resultant breakout from the triple top predicted a 122 top, we hit 120. I am an absolute novice at PnF, but it is one of many TA's I consider. Since it does not take into consideration time it is not that useful for very short term traders. At this point in time I am no longer a short term trader therefore I have and still am establishing an extended time frame portfolio. For that PnF is somewhat beneficial.

Thanks for all the great posts and good luck,

hdr