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To: Sam Citron who wrote (102596)5/1/2000 10:08:00 PM
From: Danny  Respond to of 164684
 
Sam:

I am not an expert on EDA industry and dont know why
growth rate is so low. It does look strange when you
see the rest of semi industry going astronomical



To: Sam Citron who wrote (102596)5/1/2000 10:43:00 PM
From: Danny  Read Replies (4) | Respond to of 164684
 
Re: YHOO's P/E of 573

Sam, not trying to force you one way or another, but
YHOO's P/E used to be in the range of 3000 only 3 yrs ago.

A knife has two sides. If you look at YHOO's Y2K earning
estimate of .42 (We all know YHOO has no prob of meeting
this estimate, I would expect it to be .50 +/-),
YHOO will actually carry a P/E of only ~300 at this price
by year end.

P/E of 300 is still quite high, but it is no longer
some number people just laugh about. If YHOO just double
their earning year over year, in 4 years, YHOO's P/E
will be 18 assume its share price stays here.

Of course, a P/E of 18 is too low for this kind of stock,
a P/E of 50-60 is more like it. So YHOO's price should
go up at least 3 times 4 years from now based on this
model.

The real question behind all of this wishful thinking is:
How far down the road do you think this internet revolution
will carry forward? If you think we've pretty much seen
everything, it's the time to bail out YHOO even though it
already got a 50% cut. But if you think this is still
the beginning of the new economy, YHOO is one of the
safest investment around.