SI
SI
discoversearch

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor.  We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community.  If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.
Strategies & Market Trends : MDA - Market Direction Analysis -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: 16yearcycle who wrote (48870)5/2/2000 8:35:00 AM
From: Benkea  Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 99985
 
"Let's try some facts. GE is expected to earn about 3.75 this year and has been growing e at right around 20%. So the peg ratio is actually right at 2.1."

15% of their "earnings" last year came from one-time pension overfunding gains owing to the rising GE stock in those plans. However, people are very happy to pay 50X those earnings as if they will recur for several decades. If GE's stock goes down, not only will earnings go down by that amount, but there will also be a deficiency in the pension which will work in the opposite direction.

We won't even start on the quality of CSCO's numbers.

"Very few are much above 2.0."

So only very few are 100% overpriced which is what your PEG of 2 represents if the rosy growth projections pan out?



To: 16yearcycle who wrote (48870)5/2/2000 12:46:00 PM
From: Haim R. Branisteanu  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 99985
 
Eugene, GE is growing around 10% to 11% recently the additional "income growth" is stealing money from GE workers pension fund and reporting it as operating income.

GE has a 16.9 billion paper surplus, of which around 10% of it is added to the actual operating profits.

So adjust your BUBBLE statistics along those numbers

Haim