To: TechMkt who wrote (6001 ) 5/3/2000 12:29:00 AM From: Theophile Respond to of 15615
Fex, the revenue mix is what I like (below) and the income from the increased sales force, for which the stock was hit last Qrtr on the increased expense, shows these guys are ahead of the power curve on what they needed to boost their revenues from the old-line of work. Revenues: >Revenues were $1.12 billion, up 5 percent from the fourth quarter, as data revenues jumped 27 percent to $519.2 million.> i.e. ~50% of the revenue is from data, which increased 27%, therefore it appears ~1/8 of their total revenue increased strictly on data products. Remember the emphasis is on data not voice, and we have bigger expenses than anticipated, but bigger income than anticipated too. They are still flying by the seat of the pants, but I am getting confirmation that these guys left T for good reasons, and are applying their expertise in a way that T won't even be good for Toast. Data is the driver of this decade. Bandwidth is the commodity that GBLX has for sale. Value-added bandwidth products are where the margins will deliver EPS when competitors are delivering promises, because the competition to drive out the contenders will be ferocious, and IS ferocious, as anyone who reads the CBS commentaries on GBLX is aware of. The competition is Now, to minimize the threat of new entrants, to keep margins lowest to starve out the competitors.....and this is where GBLX will have the edge, cutting costs down to the bone on their own pipes, no toll fees, able to keep lower prices for the same services. This is something else that will keep the EPS down until the market is divided up and staked out for the first movers....I do not expect the share price to rise too dramatically until the Street catches on to the clever business model, which will then create the catch phrase of gorilla attributes applied to GBLX. High barriers, high switching costs, developed value chain, and ubiquitous bandwidth for any and all to buy. We shall see. The Street may or may not react favorably, however it is my money, and I am already buying more if we go below my limit orders. And I am long for some October calls in the event we go above my limit orders. Either way, I am getting more, it seems. And I am appreciative of that posture. Regards, Martin Thomas