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Strategies & Market Trends : Steve's Channelling Thread -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Zeev Hed who wrote (1387)5/2/2000 9:17:00 PM
From: Sergio H  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 30051
 
Zeev, agreed on the multiple factors.

Throw earnings into the mix as well. Market is also factoring in a short term top on earnings growth. Add a dash of inflation while we're at it, evidenced by the strengh of the dollar and the pop in natural resources from natural gas to gold. Excess of IPOs, excess of margin, end of lockout periods, the Microsoft split up and plain old greed locking in profits add seasoning.

Sergio



To: Zeev Hed who wrote (1387)5/3/2000 9:35:00 AM
From: Bosco  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 30051
 
Hi all - Zeev, while there are many versions of a bear market [price, duration etc,] the current one seems to be a severe rotation [of no particular direction <g>?] Maybe ours is a panda or koala version, and not the gizzly type <g>. Speaking of political influence of the market, don't you think there is an opposing force at play here. I mean, on one side, there is a sitting VP. On the other side, there is a governor with wade of cash and endorsement from the business sector. They should cancel each other out. More, when push comes to shove, the power that be probably throws itself the lift raft 1st. Like an article I read, some guy [from 1st Albany or some 2nd tier shop] said, if GS or MER comes in with selling orders blazing, no way he is going to stand in the way!

best, Bosco